Wirichada Pan-ngum

ขอบคุณค่ะที่ช่วยแก้ไข ในวีดีโอผิดจริงค่ะ สูตรการคำนวณถูกต้องแล้วรวมถึงใน excel sheet ที่แชร์ไว้ล่างวีดีโอก็ถูกต้องนะคะ ในวีดีโอ slide นี้ควรจะต้องเป็น proportion ถูกต้องค่ะ

Rt = 1.805,1.52,1.235,0.855,0.38,0,0,0,0,0 ตามลำดับค่ะ

ยินดีค่ะ

ใช้ R version อะไรคะ
อาจจะลอง restart R ดูนะ
ถ้ายังไม่ได้อยากให้ uninstall package deSolve ก่อน ปิด R
เปิดใหม่แล้วลอง install.packages(“deSolve”)

ตอน install package ติดปัญหาอะไรมั้ยคะ

Famous Monty Hall Problem here https://youtu.be/obi_C1YbbIg
It is related to the Bayes Theorem, explain in here https://towardsdatascience.com/solving-the-monty-hall-problem-with-bayes-theorem-893289953e16

Fir q 3 and 4, sometimes you will see people try more than one prior distributions. If your data is strong, it doesn’t matter what you choose, it will tend to convert to the same value for the parameter estimate. Prior distribution may be coming from pilot study, literature, guess or people use uniform distribution for many unknowns.

To answer the first question, we sometime want to know the posterior distribution of the parameter estimated because we can learn much more about the parameters. The prior and posterior distribution may be similar or not, depending on how much we already know some information about that parameter and also the data observed.

Thanks for sharing your thoughts and experiences.

Thanks for sharing your thought. I think we all familiar with Frequentist approach more. It is good to learn some Bayesian as it is becoming more acceptable. One of the main concepts is about prior and posterior distribution, Bayes’ theorem.

The cost effectiveness studies suggested by Tossapol may help improving hospital management!

Interesting theory on the last point 🙂

Small world..I got the opportunities to work with the HITAP training team a bit but have never been to the HTA Philippines unit.

Great sharing on how we can contribute to fight against COVID-19…well done to all.

Many diseases are losing attention during COVID-19 so the facts that you are trying to maintain all malaria activities and protecting the staff from COVID-19 are all good working principals…so well done!

Also if there are points that you disagree or don’t quite understand please point out and share here. We can discuss those ones.